Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda5a5b52776e2affc6825c19bab9eec163ca826f1112856c3f6069c3759fc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Polissiaof FC København, FK Polissia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC København | 39c | 1,053$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.75 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC København | 2c | 977.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Polissia | 71c | 861.4$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…6db1backed FC København | 31c | 672.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FK Polissia | 62c | 644.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked FK Polissia | 68c | 481.64$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC København | 21c | 235.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FK Polissia | 73c | 104.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked FK Polissia | 72c | 27.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed FK Polissia | 69c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed FK Polissia | 69c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed FK Polissia | 69c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- FK Polissia vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FK Polissia vs. FC København: FC København O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Polissia vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Over won
- FK Polissia vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Over won
- FK Polissia vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Over won
- FK Polissia vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.