Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdb2e1e1b033a8949c7e7f63bd56f2d850824551de872728f8c29b665ef92950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 52c | 6,519$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.23 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 31c | 4,983$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.79 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 1c | 3,054$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 2,714$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,291$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 2,167$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.6 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 1,582$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.95 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 53c | 943.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 59c | 812.27$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 41c | 725.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.79 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 33c | 596.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 33c | 442.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.42 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 56c | 369.61$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 57c | 339.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 46c | 325$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 306.59$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 235.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 218.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 212.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 31c | 147.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…d8b1backed Under | 74c | 109.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 76c | 99.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…29e8backed Under | 48c | 89.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 59c | 88.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 57c | 67.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…a9edbacked Over | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +192.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 38c | 58.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 37c | 54.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 55c | 54.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b43…df40backed Under | 79c | 50.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…43cfbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 34c | 44.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…c840backed Over | 51c | 39.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…56bdbacked Over | 71c | 35.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 73c | 34.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 72c | 27.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…7558backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 26.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Under | 52c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 57c | 24.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 79c | 21.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…ce11backed Under | 61c | 20.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…3bafbacked Over | 73c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 76c | 14.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Nacional: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.