NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe27f781b1708e45e4ee04da7a7bd46e4ccfeedeb91f6030e8a1a0aea507ecb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 63c | 547.4$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.78 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 505.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 272.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 39c | 201.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 36c | 173.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 58c | 147$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 59c | 145.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 136.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Over | 48c | 130.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 130.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 43c | 128.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 63c | 121$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 60c | 115.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 112.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 102.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 66.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 51.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 49c | 38.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfa…d6d5backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 40c | 32.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 29.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 51c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…44c1backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…c040backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…08b6backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…9cb0backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…d48fbacked Under | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…523fbacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…bb25backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 56c | 22.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…b008backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…cf31backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…702abacked Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 61c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…ee4fbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…3a16backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…adfdbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…d203backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447b…3213backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…d2acbacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a81…bd2ebacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. Blue JacketsBruins won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.