Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Sweden vs Portugal: Sweden vs Portugal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe3db3c66721433fe6747328104be64b9b84c3f3cfab8d1fed0780077c5cd756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portugalof Sweden, Portugal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Portugal | 52c | 3,350$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Sweden | 52c | 1,700$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Sweden | 42c | 854.36$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.14 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Sweden | 3c | 517.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sweden | 32c | 398.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Sweden | 8c | 367.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Sweden | 49c | 365.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Sweden | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Sweden | 18c | 266.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Sweden | 16c | 262.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Portugal | 49c | 197.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Sweden | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Portugal | 70c | 151.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Portugal | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Sweden | 58c | 118.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Sweden | 16c | 118$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sweden | 40c | 105.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Portugal | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Sweden | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…1651backed Sweden | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Sweden | 50c | 87.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Sweden | 49c | 61.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Sweden | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sweden | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Portugal | 31c | 39.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Sweden | 52c | 38.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Portugal | 49c | 36.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Portugal | 60c | 32.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Portugal | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Sweden | 47c | 31.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…d0f0backed Sweden | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sweden | 43c | 28.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Portugal | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7267…b086backed Portugal | 62c | 19.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.