Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Moise Kouame vs Matej Dodig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe47a2cb04cc604c5d25236ad6713d33e7de565c96bbcdab3ddc913c1307f638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kouameof Kouame, Dodig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dodig | 6c | 4,646$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dodig | 12c | 3,011$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Kouame | 61c | 2,235$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.45 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Dodig | 32c | 1,249$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.52 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…dce7backed Dodig | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…d11abacked Kouame | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Kouame | 67c | 598.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.07 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dodig | 24c | 517$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Dodig | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dodig | 17c | 301.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Kouame | 54c | 300.62$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dodig | 29c | 288.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dodig | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Kouame | 68c | 220.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Dodig | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dodig | 46c | 195.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Kouame | 59c | 169.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Kouame | 79c | 164.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dodig | 44c | 162.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dodig | 41c | 153.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Dodig | 36c | 149$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Dodig | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dodig | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dodig | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Kouame | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Kouame | 65c | 81.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Kouame | 64c | 81.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dodig | 18c | 81.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dodig | 18c | 77.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Kouame | 37c | 66.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kouame | 78c | 66.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Kouame | 56c | 51.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Dodig | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dodig | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…400fbacked Kouame | 55c | 45.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dodig | 26c | 42.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kouame | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dodig | 37c | 39.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Dodig | 43c | 34.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Dodig | 42c | 33.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Kouame | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Dodig | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Kouame | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Kouame | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Kouame | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.