TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,563 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over61c546.71$333 inWon+$213.6814652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c543.33$211 inLost-$210.833,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under40c214.75$86 inLost-$85.939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under55c100$55 inLost-$554850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over45c91.32$41 inWon+$50.2271443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over61c78.92$48 inWon+$30.7812848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over60c75.52$45 inWon+$30.219940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over62c70$43 inWon+$26.61,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over61c48$29 inWon+$18.6914657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over61c42.46$26 inWon+$16.561,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c39.64$14 inLost-$13.5382044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8613…2f76backed Under38c38.46$15 inLost-$14.61825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under39c38.46$15 inLost-$14.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099c…e42cbacked Over61c34.43$21 inWon+$13.431747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44dc…802dbacked Over61c34.43$21 inWon+$13.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over62c33.7$21 inWon+$12.868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over60c30.3$18 inWon+$12.1280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f8…2c9abacked Over73c27.4$20 inWon+$7.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under41c26.77$11 inLost-$11.0136646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over63c20$13 inWon+$7.44470.5%31 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$1096756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbe3…07c4backed Under50c20$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over72c14.4$10 inWon+$4.0331158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.