Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee9de35680e7f8a69efab6f9e6a510be46f5bfb6443772549e85bae658a699f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 8,548$6,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.6 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 24c | 7,961$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.15 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,343$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 1,008$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.99 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…077ebacked Over | 40c | 699.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 52c | 561.11$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 49c | 245.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 191.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 63c | 132.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 51c | 113.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 68c | 101.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 38c | 100.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 52c | 92.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 37c | 89.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 59c | 84.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Under | 62c | 81.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 35c | 71.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 71c | 69.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 45.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 49c | 35.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 67c | 33.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 39c | 32.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 38c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Under | 67c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…358bbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 62c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5this page
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Colorado Rapids SC O/U 2.5Under won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.