Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gdansk: Weronika Ewald vs Amelia Paszun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee42c6ee52b433e6f9ae66e22464030e13887243b97ceea04e7955461ce69ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weronika Ewaldof Weronika Ewald, Amelia Paszun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Weronika Ewald | 73c | 1,371$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.64 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amelia Paszun | 31c | 708$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amelia Paszun | 28c | 481.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Amelia Paszun | 20c | 461.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Weronika Ewald | 69c | 437.57$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amelia Paszun | 26c | 423$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Amelia Paszun | 25c | 303.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Amelia Paszun | 9c | 215.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amelia Paszun | 23c | 208.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Weronika Ewald | 77c | 205.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amelia Paszun | 28c | 165.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Weronika Ewald | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amelia Paszun | 27c | 128$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Weronika Ewald | 77c | 120.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Amelia Paszun | 23c | 97.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Amelia Paszun | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Weronika Ewald | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Amelia Paszun | 26c | 68.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Amelia Paszun | 22c | 51.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Weronika Ewald | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Weronika Ewald | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Weronika Ewald | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Weronika Ewald | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Weronika Ewald | 80c | 40.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Weronika Ewald | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Weronika Ewald | 77c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Weronika Ewald | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.