Tennis · resolved market
Warsaw: Justina Mikulskyte vs Gabriela Knutson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff0fae51f7c8a3fcd4d35bee9415ce5cbf6e1fd3da21c0533d7b396d85a420c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriela Knutsonof Justina Mikulskyte, Gabriela Knutson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9449…d829backed Justina Mikulskyte | 0c | 20,150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Justina Mikulskyte | 10c | 13,322$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Justina Mikulskyte | 2c | 10,247$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Justina Mikulskyte | 15c | 3,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Justina Mikulskyte | 2c | 1,632$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Justina Mikulskyte | 33c | 1,618$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.64 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Justina Mikulskyte | 10c | 1,598$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.41 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 1,347$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Gabriela Knutson | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Gabriela Knutson | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabriela Knutson | 73c | 1,183$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Justina Mikulskyte | 32c | 1,021$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Justina Mikulskyte | 6c | 844.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gabriela Knutson | 68c | 761.49$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.29 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gabriela Knutson | 74c | 685.58$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28a3backed Justina Mikulskyte | 2c | 612.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Justina Mikulskyte | 9c | 541.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Justina Mikulskyte | 4c | 444.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Justina Mikulskyte | 11c | 399.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gabriela Knutson | 72c | 365$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gabriela Knutson | 74c | 292.14$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Justina Mikulskyte | 7c | 240.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Gabriela Knutson | 78c | 204.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Justina Mikulskyte | 29c | 188.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…98dbbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Justina Mikulskyte | 15c | 164.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 89.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Justina Mikulskyte | 28c | 89.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Justina Mikulskyte | 19c | 84.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Justina Mikulskyte | 24c | 83.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…68dabacked Justina Mikulskyte | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…e907backed Justina Mikulskyte | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Justina Mikulskyte | 25c | 47.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 40.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Justina Mikulskyte | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Gabriela Knutson | 77c | 30.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Gabriela Knutson | 75c | 28.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Gabriela Knutson | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Gabriela Knutson | 76c | 24.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Gabriela Knutson | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warsaw: Justina Mikulskyte vs Gabriela Knutsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mikulskyte vs KnutsonKnutson won
- Set Handicap: Knutson (-1.5) vs Mikulskyte (+1.5)Knutson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.