Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff228331527c1582cba9b24df68f39d55ae9c75e5f8d4d3ca915ddf17c042985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersof Northwestern State Demons, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern State Demons | 36c | 2,056$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.67 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 70c | 1,555$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Northwestern State Demons | 30c | 1,330$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.04 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 63c | 1,235$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.69 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Northwestern State Demons | 14c | 1,037$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 66c | 860.67$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 607.23$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 42c | 445.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 71c | 424.2$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northwestern State Demons | 48c | 327.12$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northwestern State Demons | 30c | 297.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northwestern State Demons | 29c | 292.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Northwestern State Demons | 30c | 160.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 33c | 156.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 59c | 119.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northwestern State Demons | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 70c | 99.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 69c | 92.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northwestern State Demons | 29c | 61.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northwestern State Demons | 29c | 60.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Northwestern State Demons | 35c | 52.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 67c | 52.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Northwestern State Demons | 47c | 39.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Northwestern State Demons | 30c | 34.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Northwestern State Demons | 31c | 32.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern State Demons | 36c | 29.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 63c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 53c | 20.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersthis page
- Northwestern State Demons vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 133.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.