Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff61d6886c5429c9f99539223fbe88140bd0da9b77acc5ad3d93bb686bbdfd33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Snigurof Nauhany Leme Da Silva, Daria Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1ee…0457backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 1,747$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 1,716$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.78 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Daria Snigur | 71c | 1,385$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.79 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 28c | 919.38$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.43 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 725.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 710.32$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 423.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 377.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…67cfbacked Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 30c | 255.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Daria Snigur | 70c | 236.35$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…17a6backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 196.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 28c | 176.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Daria Snigur | 72c | 136.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 134.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd50…84adbacked Daria Snigur | 71c | 117.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 30c | 82.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 81.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…1bf6backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 30c | 76.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…3155backed Daria Snigur | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 30c | 62.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daria Snigur | 70c | 57.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 55.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 28c | 49.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Daria Snigur | 70c | 49.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…0b16backed Daria Snigur | 72c | 42.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Daria Snigur | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 41.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…28e6backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…dceebacked Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 30c | 38.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed Nauhany Leme Da Silva | 29c | 35.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Daria Snigur | 70c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Daria Snigur | 71c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Daria Snigur | 72c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open, Qualification: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Daria Snigurthis page
- Set Handicap: Snigur (-1.5) vs Silva (+1.5)Snigur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.