Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Syracuse Orange
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff662c105041a48484baa8f664a206b9da83839392cbcf126b5b27c172165739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Orangeof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Syracuse Orange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange | 69c | 3,585$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 31c | 1,366$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.55 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Syracuse Orange | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.9 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 6c | 1,015$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12c | 977.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Syracuse Orange | 66c | 971$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10c | 822.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 31c | 763.96$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 659.68$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 24c | 382.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Syracuse Orange | 66c | 294.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 9c | 263.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Syracuse Orange | 70c | 238.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Syracuse Orange | 66c | 224$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Syracuse Orange | 70c | 215.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange | 70c | 200.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 11c | 181.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Syracuse Orange | 78c | 160$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 30c | 132.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Syracuse Orange | 66c | 107$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14c | 89.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Syracuse Orange | 70c | 68.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Syracuse Orange | 70c | 65.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Syracuse Orange | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange | 66c | 34.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Syracuse Orange | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Syracuse Orange | 66c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Syracuse Orange | 66c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Syracuse Orangethis page
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 144.5Over won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 145.5Over won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Syracuse Orange: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Syracuse Orange (-4.5)Syracuse Orange won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.