Champions League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc53084362b311f91cca6cdb0ef0f29291f5a1d479d0dd5e7369c5b9d07b37a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 46c | 538.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 54c | 332.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…0be7backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 50.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 53c | 38.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…7a5ebacked No | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…cf23backed No | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.