MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc9813e36c9c86b5a0fef7c9bde9bddfd932008feaed9b2e1a65de4bdf710cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 16,900$9,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,961.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed New York Yankees | 41c | 8,864$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 2,061$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.31 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed New York Yankees | 12c | 1,974$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 1,943$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.51 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees | 2c | 1,359$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,065$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.24 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…136dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 762.93$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 488.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 421$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked New York Yankees | 15c | 268.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 245.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed New York Yankees | 42c | 238.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 154.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed New York Yankees | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed New York Yankees | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed New York Yankees | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees | 26c | 69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed New York Yankees | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed New York Yankees | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked New York Yankees | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed New York Yankees | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.