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EventUkraine

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?

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UkraineSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 7 wallets, $374 · No: 22 wallets, $8,040 22 of 29 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xae0f…40f9#1 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$61175c+$201.1869
0x343d…cd2e#5 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,60375c+$521.2964
0xb17d…59ae#9 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$7562c+$45.263
0xbd8a…f9bd#12 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1269c+$5.2462
0x22db…190f#28 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6666c+$33.8560
0xb5d8…af42#51 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3068c+$14.2158
0x7818…d185#60 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2,75079c+$749.9958
0x5c5a…aabe#85 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3356c-$33.457
0xf45f…dbfdNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$2418c-$23.855
Top 51 to 200
0xff91…ab3a#26 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10642c+$144.560
0x2ccf…5f6a#78 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1363c+$7.6357
0x0770…184b#92 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$55777c+$165.5757
0x8d2e…d47e#94 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4653c+$41.0457
0x0f18…5b28#107 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1572c+$5.8457
0x993b…deda#134 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$54366c+$283.2156
0x9985…6afa#135 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5161c+$32.1456
0x198a…3ca3#147 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$16867c+$81.2356
0xa750…0d0f#194 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2072c+$7.755
0x8196…ab69#250 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$32564c+$180.3754
0x4618…f25e#308 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2275c+$7.5754
0xd10a…b9cd#309 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$8768c+$40.4354
0x4d86…1cb2#311 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$531c-$52.6954
0x8de0…7f22#320 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$69270c+$290.6654
0x8553…61db#390 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2528c-$2553
0xd104…7c02#481 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2553c+$21.8753
0x38cf…d885No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$22375c+$75.5553
0xd416…d9e2#784 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$13921c-$138.9453
0xde09…dbdeNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$8028c-$80.4253
0x94bb…c320#915 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1935c-$19.3952
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.