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EventUs Midterms

OH-15 House Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 2 wallets, $186 · No: 10 wallets, $1,276 2 of 12 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$16137c+$274.6862
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$11969c-$119.4461
0x378a…a638#240 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2569c+$11.2658
0xbea0…e19d#531 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1469c-$13.5156
0xe8c4…395d#2,695 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$20476c-$203.6852
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$20550c-$204.5851
Top 51 to 200
0x38d8…ea7c#922 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$4519c-$44.9755
0x67a8…7493#2,023 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1680c-$15.653
0xa917…4e8d#5,741 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2576c-$25.0851
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$29166c-$291.0650
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$17063c-$170.149
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$18844c-$188.0248

Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 5 wallets, $1,367 · No: 7 wallets, $627 7 of 12 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$7437c+$125.9962
0xbea0…e19d#531 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2263c-$2256
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$32947c-$328.9751
Top 51 to 200
0xaacb…5aec#193 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5137c-$51.459
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1225c+$37.755
0xb1ca…1705#901 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$92531c-$924.955
0x38d8…ea7c#922 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3921c-$39.4555
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$1337c+$22.5451
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$14633c+$295.4750
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$16544c+$208.3249
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$20751c+$196.7548
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1065c+$5.4243
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.