La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x001679fe07c58aef2e6291a44670885527c3985d727eade2f26d269526b063b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 27c | 805.9$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.31 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 733.54$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.12 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 26c | 595.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.92 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 73c | 354.49$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 73c | 342$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 214.59$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 149.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Over | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 81.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 76.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 32.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…9654backed Over | 60c | 19.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…71cfbacked Over | 75c | 17.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 64c | 16.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.