Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004a492ad73052c86425f544ce7ed9e2fc9dd010aa07d02bc4c85e1d6a6a2672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,257$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.89 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 17c | 602.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 38c | 550$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 67c | 479$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 327.86$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 251.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 246.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 204$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 18c | 147.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 71c | 117$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 26c | 109.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 107$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 17c | 91.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 67.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 63c | 54.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 30c | 52.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ddb5backed Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 72c | 41.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 37c | 41.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 55c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 26.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.