Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7fc2a59ebe3bc54c76c2307de376c0ebc23f51018de6dde686394c7a9cf32e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Hazem SCof Al Taawoun Saudi Club, Al Hazem SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 32c | 3,155$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.85 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Al Hazem SC | 60c | 2,950$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.16 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Al Hazem SC | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 36c | 1,044$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.12 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Al Hazem SC | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Hazem SC | 67c | 933.57$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Al Hazem SC | 70c | 513.1$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Al Hazem SC | 68c | 289.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Al Hazem SC | 66c | 230.66$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Al Hazem SC | 64c | 225.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 39c | 204.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Hazem SC | 68c | 152.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 39c | 118.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 39c | 118.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Hazem SC | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Hazem SC | 73c | 108.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…0b8ebacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Hazem SC | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Al Hazem SC | 61c | 67.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Al Hazem SC | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 30c | 50.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Al Hazem SC | 64c | 44.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 27c | 40.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Al Hazem SC | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…107fbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Al Hazem SC | 76c | 32.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Taawoun Saudi Club | 39c | 26.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Al Hazem SC | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Al Hazem SC | 73c | 18.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Al Hazem SC | 64c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Al Hazem SC | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.