TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Elon Phoenix

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina A&T Aggiesof North Carolina A&T Aggies, Elon Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Elon Phoenix76c5,234$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,977.8489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies24c2,374$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.9412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Elon Phoenix12c2,127$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.83,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed North Carolina A&T Aggies24c1,251$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95126740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Elon Phoenix51c864.19$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.0193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Elon Phoenix24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19225325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina A&T Aggies24c560$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.385,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Elon Phoenix26c556.2$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6129845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed North Carolina A&T Aggies24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38035243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37510622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina A&T Aggies71c435.07$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.952,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed North Carolina A&T Aggies77c378$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies75c320$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.71,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies74c256$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Elon Phoenix76c255$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.891848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c200$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Elon Phoenix75c165.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed North Carolina A&T Aggies25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies62c136.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.22,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb127…b8a2backed Elon Phoenix76c131.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001471.4%10 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Elon Phoenix47c111.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.814,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Elon Phoenix47c106.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed North Carolina A&T Aggies26c98.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5981528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies62c85.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Elon Phoenix27c84.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.321,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies66c60.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.211,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeff…7353backed North Carolina A&T Aggies24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed North Carolina A&T Aggies76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed North Carolina A&T Aggies24c47.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2460954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies24c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4415…b335backed North Carolina A&T Aggies79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971580%12 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elon Phoenix46c26.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Elon Phoenix74c25.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina A&T Aggies74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.52,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina A&T Aggies76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed North Carolina A&T Aggies76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Elon Phoenix74c21.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elon Phoenix75c14.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.