Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Lisa Zaar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0086f070031027fb0f9a70cb108f444c149df0e49a2f225579887b7da9ccd70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lisa Zaarof Elena Ruxandra Bertea, Lisa Zaar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lisa Zaar | 60c | 2,711$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.42 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 42c | 1,187$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lisa Zaar | 46c | 946.26$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.77 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 15c | 724.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…0004backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 61c | 539.58$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.67 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 33c | 389.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 5c | 309.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lisa Zaar | 77c | 261$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 6c | 204.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Lisa Zaar | 74c | 192.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lisa Zaar | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lisa Zaar | 78c | 133.74$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 27c | 118.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 45c | 110.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 48c | 103.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 38c | 101.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 29c | 90.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 41c | 76.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 60c | 72.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Lisa Zaar | 34c | 57.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Lisa Zaar | 40c | 49.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 61c | 41.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lisa Zaar | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lisa Zaar | 69c | 37.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lisa Zaar | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 43c | 33.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Lisa Zaar | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Lisa Zaar | 44c | 27.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 45c | 26.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.