Tennis · resolved market
ITF Klosters: Nicole Gadient vs Paula Cembranos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00dcfd57672be2d0ed1f3fb5c0223ee92dd1b8db84632dfd9fffec4876230516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicole Gadientof Nicole Gadient, Paula Cembranos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Paula Cembranos | 5c | 2,800$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Paula Cembranos | 61c | 2,692$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.27 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Paula Cembranos | 3c | 2,360$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicole Gadient | 41c | 1,497$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Nicole Gadient | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Nicole Gadient | 32c | 409.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nicole Gadient | 40c | 315.12$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paula Cembranos | 57c | 225.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paula Cembranos | 53c | 215.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Nicole Gadient | 47c | 186.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paula Cembranos | 59c | 155.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nicole Gadient | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Nicole Gadient | 43c | 116.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Paula Cembranos | 58c | 115.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Nicole Gadient | 45c | 107.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Nicole Gadient | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Paula Cembranos | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nicole Gadient | 46c | 53.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Paula Cembranos | 59c | 52.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Paula Cembranos | 54c | 32.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Paula Cembranos | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.