CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TRI (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00fc7e7bd54445cbe8cbf26ae36574f5a7b7b08f4df3d79c85197196be8aa510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Tricked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 68c | 5,262$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Tricked | 33c | 3,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Tricked | 31c | 732$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Phantom | 66c | 456.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tricked | 34c | 300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Tricked | 33c | 273.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Tricked | 32c | 220.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tricked | 28c | 169.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tricked | 31c | 158.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Tricked | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Tricked | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Phantom | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Tricked | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tricked | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Tricked | 33c | 63.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Phantom | 71c | 63.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Tricked | 33c | 55.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Tricked | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Tricked | 34c | 32.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Phantom | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Phantom | 71c | 18.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Phantom | 68c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TRI (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.