CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64265f105cd6e1b131f99f1fb8649ab6d0240f863dce2214b141a9edf30a583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Tricked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 69c | 808.42$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 28c | 778.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tricked | 22c | 337$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 77c | 257$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tricked | 23c | 203.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tricked | 37c | 159.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tricked | 25c | 150.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Phantom | 73c | 133.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Phantom | 57c | 118.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Tricked | 22c | 104.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Phantom | 72c | 89.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Tricked | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tricked | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 69c | 54.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 24c | 49.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20e…7acfbacked Tricked | 27c | 41.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Tricked | 39c | 31.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Phantom | 71c | 31.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 49c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Phantom | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed Tricked | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Phantom | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TRI (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.