TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof Tricked, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom43c33,207$14,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,913.795,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom42c9,176$3,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,297.852,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Tricked55c6,389$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.5575652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Tricked59c5,400$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18614051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed Tricked56c4,600$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.964055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Phantom52c2,646$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.7534559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Tricked56c2,440$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.47250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked Tricked56c2,240$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.43644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Tricked40c2,038$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.115,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Phantom43c1,627$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.732,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Tricked56c1,507$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.7216544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Tricked53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9918356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Tricked56c1,195$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67116346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76c…9db8backed Tricked34c1,175$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.471421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Phantom47c1,093$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.6245465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Tricked61c1,062$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Tricked1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Tricked61c972.23$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.068540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Tricked58c971.94$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.615349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Tricked56c932.3$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.097047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Tricked57c879$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0335848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Tricked58c866.07$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.3227940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Tricked56c858$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.128455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Phantom55c850.48$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8124551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Phantom44c799.68$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.822356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Tricked56c799.46$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.722044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tricked56c792.15$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.531,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tricked41c778.3$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.172,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Tricked58c777$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6657641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Tricked24c763.01$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.134,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Tricked58c758.83$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.129044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Tricked56c753.26$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.935947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Tricked3c746$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.529035.6%32 W · 58 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Tricked59c722.99$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.25347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tricked17c709.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.021,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked27c709.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.436,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Phantom44c686.24$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6211952.9%63 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked14c671.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.167,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Tricked56c660.62$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.952352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Tricked23c644.78$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.674,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd72e…c7d2backed Tricked56c613.84$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7580%0 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Tricked57c542.64$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2321536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Tricked62c518.13$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6613844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Tricked56c503.05$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7146447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tricked59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom79c499.89$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.942,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Tricked56c489$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.845046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Tricked58c487.28$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Tricked57c485.73$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.021,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Tricked56c467.14$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.66144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Tricked58c453.45$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26310137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tricked11c443.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1838037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Tricked14c428.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Tricked58c410.16$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.896437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15a9…27b7backed Tricked57c369.3$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Phantom47c360.51$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Tricked56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked61c350$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.54,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5a…9ef7backed Tricked57c344.45$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.66939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked Phantom46c326.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5715455.2%85 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Tricked60c324$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.44438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd5…12a2backed Tricked59c321.46$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.662050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Tricked55c317.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8627744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed Tricked56c316.07$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Tricked59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Tricked61c300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18220750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Tricked56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Phantom44c299.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16817545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Tricked27c279.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8210650.9%54 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Tricked57c279$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0311140.5%45 W · 66 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…61bebacked Phantom60c275.52$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Tricked58c252$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.166445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Tricked33c246.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8116245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked Tricked57c246$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.221428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Tricked6c240$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Phantom65c215.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5840449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Tricked56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Tricked54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Tricked57c201.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11544244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71cbbacked Phantom44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Tricked54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.515954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Phantom45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11024942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Phantom43c195.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.337855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Tricked63c189.73$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.076744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Tricked21c189.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3988330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Tricked59c180.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3321653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Tricked57c180$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.631647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom44c170$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.22,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Phantom44c168.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.541,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd297…5ac6backed Phantom59c160.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Phantom47c159.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.84757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Tricked59c148.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.526744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Phantom43c146.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed Phantom72c137.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7510151.5%52 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d65…bb09backed Tricked60c136.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed Tricked24c125.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.356443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Phantom43c121.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0374054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Tricked60c112.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3959343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Tricked13c111.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5155738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.