Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Medjedovic (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0105e0c28450f84514ef0212c516797918324ae0ea00361a2c281cd822b43aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruudof Ruud, Medjedovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Medjedovic | 67c | 1,520$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.35 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Ruud | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Ruud | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Ruud | 32c | 553.58$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.9 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Ruud | 35c | 551.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Ruud | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medjedovic | 66c | 493.86$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.46 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medjedovic | 65c | 404$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Medjedovic | 67c | 300.66$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Medjedovic | 66c | 245$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.85 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Medjedovic | 66c | 240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Medjedovic | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruud | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Ruud | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Medjedovic | 70c | 135$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Medjedovic | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Medjedovic | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Medjedovic | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Medjedovic | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Medjedovic | 66c | 74.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Ruud | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Medjedovic | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Medjedovic | 66c | 51.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ruud | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ruud | 47c | 26.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Medjedovic | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Medjedovic | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Medjedovic (+2.5)this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad MedjedovicCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs MedjedovicRuud won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Medjedovic (+1.5)Ruud won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.