CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0123ab29c4ab241948bba59dbef53e8777ccc9a8ed9a437613a106ce871b590c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, RoundsGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 60c | 2,271$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.35 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RoundsGG | 34c | 1,399$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.18 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed RoundsGG | 30c | 952.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed megoshort | 79c | 863.73$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.94 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RoundsGG | 16c | 545.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RoundsGG | 30c | 180$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RoundsGG | 36c | 135.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed RoundsGG | 34c | 105.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 428 | 54.9%235 W · 193 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed RoundsGG | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 321 | 38.6%124 W · 197 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed RoundsGG | 32c | 78.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RoundsGG | 33c | 55.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed megoshort | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RoundsGG | 42c | 49.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed RoundsGG | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed megoshort | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed megoshort | 52c | 26.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked megoshort | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked megoshort | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group DRoundsGG won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG - Map 2 WinnerRoundsGG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.