CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e935ae099fbda8e8b43ec35b489ca8162a45acc7ab7a04859d1d84c216bb624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RoundsGGof megoshort, RoundsGG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed megoshort | 43c | 2,118$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.64 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 58c | 1,898$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed megoshort | 31c | 1,466$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.26 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed megoshort | 37c | 1,005$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RoundsGG | 40c | 713.84$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.48 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed RoundsGG | 44c | 618.4$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.87 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RoundsGG | 66c | 608.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed megoshort | 56c | 601.84$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RoundsGG | 75c | 448.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…795fbacked RoundsGG | 70c | 438.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RoundsGG | 51c | 431.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked megoshort | 53c | 413$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RoundsGG | 47c | 375$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked megoshort | 47c | 358$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed megoshort | 26c | 332.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed RoundsGG | 45c | 281.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked RoundsGG | 44c | 278.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked megoshort | 42c | 276.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked megoshort | 45c | 269$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RoundsGG | 69c | 254.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed megoshort | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed megoshort | 58c | 228.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed megoshort | 53c | 220.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed RoundsGG | 60c | 217.56$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked megoshort | 28c | 207$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked RoundsGG | 36c | 206.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed megoshort | 31c | 197.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked megoshort | 54c | 188.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked megoshort | 45c | 184.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…2674backed RoundsGG | 56c | 174.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked megoshort | 50c | 171.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed RoundsGG | 51c | 167.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed RoundsGG | 58c | 154.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed RoundsGG | 78c | 149.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…830fbacked RoundsGG | 58c | 115.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed RoundsGG | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RoundsGG | 45c | 102.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked RoundsGG | 31c | 97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RoundsGG | 42c | 87.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked megoshort | 55c | 87.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed RoundsGG | 70c | 87.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…9d40backed RoundsGG | 49c | 85.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked RoundsGG | 58c | 84.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked megoshort | 49c | 82.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked megoshort | 31c | 79.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed megoshort | 60c | 78.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked megoshort | 40c | 72.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked megoshort | 52c | 72.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked RoundsGG | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed RoundsGG | 58c | 70.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed megoshort | 56c | 67.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…f37abacked megoshort | 59c | 64.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed megoshort | 47c | 58.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed RoundsGG | 58c | 57.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked megoshort | 56c | 53.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked megoshort | 68c | 48.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed RoundsGG | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed megoshort | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed megoshort | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed megoshort | 32c | 41.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed megoshort | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed RoundsGG | 74c | 35.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked megoshort | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked megoshort | 55c | 34.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked megoshort | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked megoshort | 56c | 31.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked megoshort | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed RoundsGG | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed megoshort | 53c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed RoundsGG | 67c | 27.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked megoshort | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked megoshort | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7277backed megoshort | 75c | 15.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs RoundsGG - Map 2 WinnerRoundsGG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.