Tennis · resolved market
Cherbourg: Raphael Perot vs Filippo Romano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0145a8720df6f7be4292b409dc8e0741801b44975d7436632c08b6c07e5ab567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filippo Romanoof Raphael Perot, Filippo Romano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,711 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Raphael Perot | 29c | 3,056$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Filippo Romano | 72c | 2,877$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.56 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Raphael Perot | 28c | 1,755$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Raphael Perot | 39c | 1,402$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Filippo Romano | 72c | 1,318$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.16 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raphael Perot | 41c | 1,271$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.55 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Raphael Perot | 26c | 1,169$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Filippo Romano | 69c | 1,050$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Filippo Romano | 64c | 1,023$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.56 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Raphael Perot | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Raphael Perot | 33c | 620.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Filippo Romano | 53c | 575$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Raphael Perot | 30c | 536$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raphael Perot | 37c | 533.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Raphael Perot | 28c | 502.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raphael Perot | 17c | 483.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Filippo Romano | 72c | 432.13$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Raphael Perot | 34c | 325.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Raphael Perot | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raphael Perot | 31c | 292.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raphael Perot | 12c | 286.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Filippo Romano | 52c | 282.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Raphael Perot | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Filippo Romano | 69c | 254.79$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Filippo Romano | 59c | 236.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Raphael Perot | 35c | 220.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Filippo Romano | 63c | 209.42$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Raphael Perot | 32c | 204.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Filippo Romano | 40c | 202$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Raphael Perot | 29c | 177.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Raphael Perot | 61c | 161.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Filippo Romano | 68c | 156.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Filippo Romano | 40c | 134.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Raphael Perot | 61c | 133$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Raphael Perot | 29c | 114.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raphael Perot | 25c | 106.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Filippo Romano | 69c | 105.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Raphael Perot | 61c | 102.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Raphael Perot | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Filippo Romano | 76c | 99.32$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Filippo Romano | 39c | 97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Raphael Perot | 52c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Raphael Perot | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raphael Perot | 25c | 78.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Raphael Perot | 31c | 69.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Filippo Romano | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Raphael Perot | 29c | 61.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Perot | 39c | 53.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Raphael Perot | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Raphael Perot | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Filippo Romano | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Filippo Romano | 39c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Filippo Romano | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Filippo Romano | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Raphael Perot | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Filippo Romano | 64c | 20.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Filippo Romano | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Raphael Perot | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Filippo Romano | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cherbourg: Raphael Perot vs Filippo Romanothis page
- Perot vs. Romano: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Perot vs. Romano: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Perot vs. Romano: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Raphael Perot vs. Filippo Romano: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.