CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019873129b1ef7e71518e81d63454d7a9625452ed502ceda75b48963b41f811c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reviseof eternal premium, Revise
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked eternal premium | 43c | 513.9$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed eternal premium | 47c | 453.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Revise | 48c | 423.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…4f2ebacked Revise | 50c | 369.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked eternal premium | 46c | 280.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Revise | 50c | 243$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Revise | 51c | 220.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed eternal premium | 36c | 150.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked eternal premium | 64c | 149.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked eternal premium | 58c | 145.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked eternal premium | 36c | 124.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked eternal premium | 46c | 115.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed eternal premium | 24c | 108.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed eternal premium | 51c | 105.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Revise | 64c | 102.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked eternal premium | 42c | 96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Revise | 58c | 95.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed eternal premium | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked eternal premium | 49c | 78.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Revise | 58c | 73.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked eternal premium | 20c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked eternal premium | 38c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Revise | 61c | 64.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Revise | 57c | 60.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Revise | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked eternal premium | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…aa04backed Revise | 49c | 38.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Revise | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Revise | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Revise | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked eternal premium | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked eternal premium | 38c | 26.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 592 | 2.9%17 W · 575 L | -219.6wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Revise | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Revise | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed eternal premium | 53c | 22.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8238backed eternal premium | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Revise | 77c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Revise - Map 1 Winnereternal premium won
- Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Revise - Map 2 WinnerRevise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.