CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01edf224eb72ce73da0dc7f75e6010a67095b34037a629c940ceb7e6aa8e6168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 2,397$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.31 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports | 46c | 1,088$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed fnatic | 32c | 786.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.65 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked fnatic | 41c | 729.48$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked fnatic | 59c | 720.1$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.22 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Inner Circle Esports | 41c | 634$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed fnatic | 65c | 530.23$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.49 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed fnatic | 64c | 499$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed fnatic | 66c | 454.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked fnatic | 55c | 370.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.11 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 352.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 56c | 337.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Inner Circle Esports | 51c | 336.84$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic | 79c | 329.13$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Inner Circle Esports | 38c | 312.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed fnatic | 56c | 287.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 15c | 278$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked fnatic | 66c | 267.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Inner Circle Esports | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 37c | 222.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Inner Circle Esports | 42c | 199.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports | 28c | 147.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed fnatic | 70c | 143.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Inner Circle Esports | 67c | 137.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked fnatic | 68c | 126.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked fnatic | 58c | 122.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed fnatic | 55c | 121.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Inner Circle Esports | 71c | 120.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 117.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed fnatic | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Inner Circle Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed fnatic | 33c | 99.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 96.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked fnatic | 35c | 91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 53c | 86.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Inner Circle Esports | 21c | 70.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed fnatic | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 69.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…8cccbacked fnatic | 71c | 63.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Inner Circle Esports | 25c | 51.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 49.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…b955backed fnatic | 42c | 44.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 41.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed fnatic | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked fnatic | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked fnatic | 62c | 23.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked fnatic | 48c | 23.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed fnatic | 53c | 22.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed fnatic | 53c | 19.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked fnatic | 69c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.