CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4720e15c098332d506563bac3cfa62df46225c38ab2509424598387b5417b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof fnatic, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed fnatic | 49c | 1,617$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.35 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Inner Circle Esports | 52c | 1,436$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.38 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked fnatic | 45c | 1,335$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.21 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 1,077$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.18 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked fnatic | 63c | 999.83$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.89 | 454 | 57%259 W · 195 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 969$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.31 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Inner Circle Esports | 78c | 638.87$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed fnatic | 61c | 630.32$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed fnatic | 30c | 529.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Inner Circle Esports | 60c | 483.01$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed fnatic | 24c | 416.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 40.2%103 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed fnatic | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 479 | 41.5%199 W · 280 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed fnatic | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed fnatic | 60c | 234.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked fnatic | 24c | 221.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 543 | 45.1%245 W · 298 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Inner Circle Esports | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked fnatic | 62c | 166.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 263 | 50.6%133 W · 130 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked fnatic | 50c | 156.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked fnatic | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Inner Circle Esports | 63c | 117.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Inner Circle Esports | 43c | 116.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle Esports | 46c | 101.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed fnatic | 58c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked fnatic | 40c | 82.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 3,262 | 50.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L | +97.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed fnatic | 55c | 80.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Inner Circle Esports | 72c | 72.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed fnatic | 65c | 66.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed fnatic | 30c | 65.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed fnatic | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Inner Circle Esports | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed fnatic | 38c | 62.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Inner Circle Esports | 44c | 61.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked fnatic | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 52.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed fnatic | 27c | 51.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed fnatic | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…9fcbbacked fnatic | 47c | 49.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked fnatic | 41c | 45.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Inner Circle Esports | 56c | 42.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed fnatic | 56c | 41.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 38.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked fnatic | 53c | 36.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed fnatic | 60c | 36.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…770abacked Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 29.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Inner Circle Esports | 70c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked fnatic | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed fnatic | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…3012backed fnatic | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed fnatic | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked fnatic | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.