Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f5c21159073eb1d9e875b232e71e5f5e064fbe832cfc29082e09cf29fcc00e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalinskayaof Kalinskaya, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maneiro | 0c | 5,074$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maneiro | 10c | 3,738$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.3 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Maneiro | 26c | 2,908$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.01 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Maneiro | 17c | 1,999$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Maneiro | 11c | 1,480$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Maneiro | 27c | 1,427$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.39 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Maneiro | 18c | 1,343$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maneiro | 13c | 1,029$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Kalinskaya | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kalinskaya | 78c | 665.21$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Maneiro | 10c | 634.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Maneiro | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 502.88$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Maneiro | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kalinskaya | 76c | 387.18$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…2030backed Maneiro | 27c | 370.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maneiro | 25c | 319.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Kalinskaya | 79c | 253.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Maneiro | 14c | 221.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kalinskaya | 78c | 213.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maneiro | 18c | 199.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Maneiro | 24c | 196.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Maneiro | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kalinskaya | 76c | 155$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked Kalinskaya | 71c | 141.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maneiro | 18c | 121.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Maneiro | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kalinskaya | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Maneiro | 24c | 104.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maneiro | 18c | 97.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Kalinskaya | 76c | 85.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Maneiro | 27c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kalinskaya | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kalinskaya | 73c | 70.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maneiro | 25c | 63.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Maneiro | 27c | 62.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maneiro | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Kalinskaya | 73c | 47.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Kalinskaya | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…ce7ebacked Kalinskaya | 73c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…f072backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Kalinskaya | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 243 | 57.6%140 W · 103 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kalinskaya | 75c | 31.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Kalinskaya | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Kalinskaya | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Kalinskaya | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Kalinskaya | 77c | 25.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Kalinskaya | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kalinskaya | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Kalinskaya | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirothis page
- Kalinskaya vs. Maneiro: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Kalinskaya vs. Maneiro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Kalinskaya vs. Maneiro: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Kalinskaya vs. Maneiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Kalinskaya vs ManeiroKalinskaya won
- Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)Kalinskaya won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.