South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021a4accd48b7a66f7a726318100429ef9d34fd1c92ceb877f46410e9ffbce30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 9c | 14,428$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed No | 3c | 10,442$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 4,036$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.7 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 11c | 3,644$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 10c | 2,543$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 9c | 2,422$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 1,996$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,962$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked No | 1c | 1,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 1,473$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 20c | 1,162$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.38 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 2c | 936$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 80c | 908.32$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 22c | 899.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 21c | 895.36$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 656.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 22c | 634.62$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 21c | 511.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed No | 10c | 477.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 15c | 464.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 13c | 410.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 4c | 328.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 80c | 287.91$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 17c | 287.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 20c | 273.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 20c | 273.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 20c | 269.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 263$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 77c | 257.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 79c | 224.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 9c | 158.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed No | 11c | 157.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed No | 20c | 151.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 14c | 131.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 20c | 125.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd79…5f6abacked No | 20c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 78c | 121.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 21c | 114.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 16c | 100.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 20c | 100.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 80c | 93.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 13c | 91.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…650cbacked No | 13c | 88.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 21c | 58.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 21c | 57.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 79c | 20.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Yes | 79c | 13.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Mirassol FC vs. Club Always Ready end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.