Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0257f421a313f273e87783550675867eb3793faae1b8701ec9cd72c9af79bc07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Lionsof Zhejiang Lions, Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 78c | 2,318$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Zhejiang Lions | 9c | 1,200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Zhejiang Lions | 5c | 621.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +963.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…3893backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 16c | 422.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 14c | 382.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 13c | 360.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 28c | 247.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 17c | 224$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 14c | 202$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Zhejiang Lions | 80c | 194.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 8c | 174.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 11c | 155.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 14c | 131$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 20c | 108.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 16c | 99.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 18c | 86.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Zhejiang Lions | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.