Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tennessee State Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02b5d21408ec8e69b56c31549f3233288de2a72f6472bc975c4f4520ee956da6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee State Tigersof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Tennessee State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tennessee State Tigers | 65c | 4,639$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.87 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 63c | 3,327$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.25 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tennessee State Tigers | 13c | 3,050$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.5 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 4c | 2,400$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 58c | 927.97$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.91 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 13c | 799.66$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.7 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 80c | 756.15$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.79 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Tennessee State Tigers | 16c | 750$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 8c | 618.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.67 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee State Tigers | 23c | 611.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…7935backed Tennessee State Tigers | 28c | 508.27$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 464.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.63 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…ddfdbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 14c | 433.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Tennessee State Tigers | 14c | 406.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Tennessee State Tigers | 62c | 375.72$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 39c | 370.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tennessee State Tigers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 63c | 300$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 65c | 298$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 75c | 215.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Tennessee State Tigers | 11c | 179$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 12c | 164$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Tennessee State Tigers | 27c | 159.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tennessee State Tigers | 14c | 143$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 72c | 118.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tennessee State Tigers | 15c | 102.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 80c | 102$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…1856backed Tennessee State Tigers | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Tennessee State Tigers | 12c | 99.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Tennessee State Tigers | 12c | 93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 12c | 90$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…04bcbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…21b1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 71c | 89.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.