CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs banda chuya - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02bc0290e7743932ef9c5317d9dfdef402635056d0ca6e7083c88691451d86fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheBoysof TheBoys, banda chuya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdced…c799backed TheBoys | 46c | 3,606$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.08 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked banda chuya | 59c | 3,504$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.29 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked banda chuya | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed banda chuya | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked TheBoys | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked banda chuya | 55c | 1,387$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.57 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed TheBoys | 38c | 964.58$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.92 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed TheBoys | 47c | 734.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.54 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed banda chuya | 59c | 600$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed banda chuya | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed banda chuya | 60c | 555.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.24 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed banda chuya | 58c | 515.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed TheBoys | 40c | 514.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed TheBoys | 49c | 475.15$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed banda chuya | 53c | 427.08$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.35 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed banda chuya | 50c | 402.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…32dcbacked banda chuya | 57c | 398.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed TheBoys | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed TheBoys | 43c | 225.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed banda chuya | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TheBoys | 45c | 175.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…9756backed TheBoys | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed banda chuya | 72c | 129.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked banda chuya | 22c | 125$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked TheBoys | 35c | 117.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…61debacked TheBoys | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed TheBoys | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed banda chuya | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed banda chuya | 64c | 99.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked TheBoys | 63c | 88.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed TheBoys | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TheBoys | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked TheBoys | 45c | 69.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked TheBoys | 46c | 56.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed TheBoys | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed banda chuya | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed TheBoys | 62c | 47.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked banda chuya | 61c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed TheBoys | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked banda chuya | 35c | 41.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…1d84backed banda chuya | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked TheBoys | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked banda chuya | 48c | 37.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed banda chuya | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed TheBoys | 48c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TheBoys | 58c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs banda chuya - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheBoys vs banda chuya (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsTheBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.