Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0381ab5d1ccb5082d5db306b2d70a67e0e55adc9dcb2e8e483a72caa1a8e5384
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof Conviction, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conviction | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.8 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked CCG Esports | 66c | 2,268$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.07 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked CCG Esports | 50c | 2,184$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.6 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked CCG Esports | 66c | 1,453$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 849 | 42.5%361 W · 488 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed CCG Esports | 52c | 1,278$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.54 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Conviction | 47c | 1,229$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed CCG Esports | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Conviction | 27c | 758.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Conviction | 45c | 664.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed Conviction | 47c | 640.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Conviction | 48c | 516.21$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.93 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked CCG Esports | 68c | 485.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Conviction | 27c | 462$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed CCG Esports | 64c | 422.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed CCG Esports | 72c | 390.36$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked CCG Esports | 32c | 331.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Conviction | 63c | 330.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked Conviction | 50c | 309.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Conviction | 43c | 283.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Conviction | 54c | 258$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…f8b3backed CCG Esports | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Conviction | 66c | 198$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Conviction | 21c | 194.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Conviction | 33c | 179$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Conviction | 70c | 179$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Conviction | 34c | 155.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Conviction | 69c | 151.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CCG Esports | 34c | 151.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…f78ebacked Conviction | 65c | 132.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked CCG Esports | 48c | 104.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 1,042 | 39.6%413 W · 629 L | -73.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Conviction | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Conviction | 50c | 87.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Conviction | 29c | 87.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 628 | 26%163 W · 465 L | -89.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Conviction | 57c | 78.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 409 | 55.5%227 W · 182 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Conviction | 53c | 68.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked CCG Esports | 59c | 62.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Conviction | 68c | 58.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Conviction | 27c | 49.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked CCG Esports | 57c | 46.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked CCG Esports | 37c | 46.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Conviction | 52c | 42.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed CCG Esports | 65c | 38.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +11.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Conviction | 35c | 37.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Conviction | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Conviction | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Conviction | 35c | 32.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 300 | 42.7%128 W · 172 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…ad9bbacked Conviction | 33c | 31.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Conviction | 70c | 31.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 456 | 57.9%264 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed CCG Esports | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Conviction | 60c | 28.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Conviction | 72c | 28.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 582 | 59.5%346 W · 236 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…cfc6backed Conviction | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Conviction | 43c | 27.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…bdc4backed Conviction | 48c | 25.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed CCG Esports | 62c | 22.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 406 | 69.7%283 W · 123 L | +34.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed CCG Esports | 72c | 20.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 441 | 61.5%271 W · 170 L | +25.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageCCG Esports won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerCCG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.