Tennis · resolved market
Liberec: Pablo Martinez vs Gonzalo Bueno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a0d405cd374e8f3a82fd228836c041eff7e1a108613f17c9eab1299f7d5342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzalo Buenoof Pablo Martinez, Gonzalo Bueno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Martinez | 32c | 34,074$10,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,784.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…1659backed Gonzalo Bueno | 68c | 15,326$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Gonzalo Bueno | 61c | 12,189$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.74 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Martinez | 32c | 11,161$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Pablo Martinez | 11c | 1,879$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Gonzalo Bueno | 54c | 1,819$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.83 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 67c | 1,598$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.5 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Gonzalo Bueno | 63c | 1,579$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.34 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…f341backed Pablo Martinez | 5c | 1,422$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…d176backed Pablo Martinez | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 60c | 1,111$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.01 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Pablo Martinez | 33c | 1,038$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Gonzalo Bueno | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Pablo Martinez | 12c | 827.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Gonzalo Bueno | 67c | 744.06$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 48c | 740.6$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.11 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Gonzalo Bueno | 46c | 639.13$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.13 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Pablo Martinez | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 175 | 54.3%95 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pablo Martinez | 26c | 478.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 51c | 439.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Gonzalo Bueno | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 330.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 62c | 320$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Pablo Martinez | 32c | 272.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Pablo Martinez | 16c | 213.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 54c | 198.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Gonzalo Bueno | 60c | 185.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Pablo Martinez | 29c | 181.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Gonzalo Bueno | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Pablo Martinez | 25c | 115.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Gonzalo Bueno | 63c | 103.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 70c | 78.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Pablo Martinez | 34c | 76.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Gonzalo Bueno | 70c | 71.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Pablo Martinez | 31c | 63.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Pablo Martinez | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Pablo Martinez | 29c | 60.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 51c | 56.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Gonzalo Bueno | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Pablo Martinez | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 69c | 37.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Pablo Martinez | 28c | 37.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pablo Martinez | 29c | 35.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Pablo Martinez | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gonzalo Bueno | 77c | 28.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…9fa1backed Gonzalo Bueno | 61c | 20.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Pablo Martinez | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…d6f9backed Gonzalo Bueno | 63c | 19.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Gonzalo Bueno | 78c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.