Lol · resolved market
LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04620a0f90b1e2029e93cf9512c8d094fece6c3598c6c1c30acaf20962013ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uwinksof Uwinks, RAYN Clocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Uwinks | 54c | 5,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Uwinks | 51c | 4,994$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.02 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed RAYN Clocks | 46c | 2,395$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.67 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed RAYN Clocks | 2c | 2,285$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed RAYN Clocks | 47c | 1,545$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.7 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed RAYN Clocks | 51c | 1,308$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.96 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed RAYN Clocks | 46c | 1,293$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.29 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed RAYN Clocks | 51c | 884.31$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed RAYN Clocks | 49c | 804.89$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.06 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed RAYN Clocks | 45c | 610.2$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Uwinks | 54c | 533.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Uwinks | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Uwinks | 51c | 489.92$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.38 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed RAYN Clocks | 45c | 474.44$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed RAYN Clocks | 51c | 433.1$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked RAYN Clocks | 49c | 339.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed RAYN Clocks | 51c | 323.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed RAYN Clocks | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed RAYN Clocks | 45c | 266.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed RAYN Clocks | 46c | 188.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Uwinks | 50c | 185.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed RAYN Clocks | 49c | 148.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked RAYN Clocks | 48c | 146.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked RAYN Clocks | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed RAYN Clocks | 42c | 131.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Uwinks | 67c | 63.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked RAYN Clocks | 51c | 48.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Uwinks | 54c | 37.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: RCK (-1.5) vs Uwinks (+1.5)Uwinks won
- LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular SeasonUwinks won
- LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 2 WinnerUwinks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.