Lol · resolved market
LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdbed0e8a4dcb18872dff03c38fd1e266f0021627306dbcc22622ed0963195f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Uwinksof Uwinks, RAYN Clocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed RAYN Clocks | 50c | 1,504$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.33 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Uwinks | 40c | 1,065$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.46 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Uwinks | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.14 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Uwinks | 39c | 913.52$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.71 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Uwinks | 45c | 730$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Uwinks | 34c | 715.66$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.07 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +10.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed RAYN Clocks | 56c | 684$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.73 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Uwinks | 46c | 543.24$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Uwinks | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed RAYN Clocks | 54c | 474.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed RAYN Clocks | 61c | 411.92$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…5a2cbacked RAYN Clocks | 61c | 406$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed RAYN Clocks | 67c | 403.36$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed RAYN Clocks | 60c | 389.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed RAYN Clocks | 61c | 333$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed RAYN Clocks | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Uwinks | 45c | 282.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked RAYN Clocks | 69c | 254.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked RAYN Clocks | 60c | 171.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked RAYN Clocks | 53c | 161.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Uwinks | 40c | 114.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked RAYN Clocks | 69c | 95.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Uwinks | 33c | 94.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed RAYN Clocks | 67c | 94.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed RAYN Clocks | 56c | 88.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked RAYN Clocks | 69c | 86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Uwinks | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…5258backed RAYN Clocks | 34c | 79.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked RAYN Clocks | 52c | 71.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…92ecbacked RAYN Clocks | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed RAYN Clocks | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Uwinks | 50c | 48.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Uwinks | 35c | 42.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed RAYN Clocks | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed RAYN Clocks | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Uwinks | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed RAYN Clocks | 65c | 27.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0771…9d18backed RAYN Clocks | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed RAYN Clocks | 52c | 22.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed RAYN Clocks | 59c | 17.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Uwinks | 73c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks (BO3) - LJL Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: RCK (-1.5) vs Uwinks (+1.5)Uwinks won
- LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 1 WinnerUwinks won
- LoL: Uwinks vs RAYN Clocks - Game 2 WinnerUwinks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.