Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047fdde41f831e9d2c6a291d6a085b02ddfcb6a074f8760b9f057d8a45b2a00c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,288$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 73c | 984.16$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.02 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 751.91$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 648$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 553.94$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 29c | 478.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 72c | 277.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 267.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 262.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 28c | 211.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 26c | 203.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 190$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 65c | 184.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 29c | 169$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 167.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked Yes | 27c | 165.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 156.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 155.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 149.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 73c | 127.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 126.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 124.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 120.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 73c | 106.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 103.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 26c | 94.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 86.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…653cbacked Yes | 27c | 84.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 27c | 74.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…58bdbacked Yes | 27c | 67.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 26c | 66.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…0f61backed Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…3f75backed No | 74c | 59.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 74c | 59.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 57.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked No | 74c | 57.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed No | 74c | 53.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 47.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 26c | 47.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 31c | 37.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 71c | 34.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…e1a5backed No | 65c | 27.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed No | 69c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 71c | 22.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed No | 70c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.