TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Omaha Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Omaha Mavericksof South Dakota State Jackrabbits, Omaha Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Omaha Mavericks44c2,555$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.81,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c1,864$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Omaha Mavericks47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Omaha Mavericks46c372.02$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.8925946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits54c310.18$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.744,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Omaha Mavericks45c300.02$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.012,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Omaha Mavericks50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Omaha Mavericks47c270$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.14,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Omaha Mavericks61c149$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.431,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Omaha Mavericks42c148.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.691936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Omaha Mavericks60c147$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.543,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Omaha Mavericks49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.444,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits47c121.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c118.37$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3758345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed Omaha Mavericks47c108.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Omaha Mavericks46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Omaha Mavericks43c88.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2626740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits56c62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.727234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits57c61.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.881,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Omaha Mavericks47c57.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits57c52.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits40c42.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.151,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cfe…2fd8backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits56c41.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.681,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.363,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Omaha Mavericks53c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6223331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Omaha Mavericks47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5516952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Omaha Mavericks44c34.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1321535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits56c34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0497447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Omaha Mavericks60c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.