CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04a36841dfbeae6edb266e2c2e1ce6a44b0c2b26e89113328782980cc1825486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Imperial, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Imperial | 34c | 3,514$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.41 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Imperial | 58c | 3,437$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.43 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 67c | 3,020$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.91 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Imperial | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Imperial | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Imperial | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Imperial | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Imperial | 5c | 1,250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Imperial | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Imperial | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 988.22$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.22 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 978.21$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 744.16$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Imperial | 59c | 600$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.66 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 513$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 507.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.45 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Imperial | 6c | 401.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…3a8abacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 296.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 294.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Yawara Esports | 26c | 282.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 25c | 213$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 205.04$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 57c | 194.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 186.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Imperial | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Yawara Esports | 57c | 162.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 155.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Imperial | 67c | 150.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 136.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 63c | 136.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 124.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 35c | 118.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 117.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Imperial | 54c | 116.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 113.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Imperial | 72c | 104$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Imperial | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Imperial | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Imperial | 31c | 92.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 68.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Imperial | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Imperial | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Yawara Esports | 75c | 45.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Yawara Esports | 77c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 38.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fe…e38bbacked Imperial | 71c | 36.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Imperial | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Imperial | 55c | 33.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 41c | 25.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Imperial | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Imperial | 70c | 18.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.