CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08dc15390429a63a507331df84e72d6d07120c0d4e24fc3a9f946a4d3d8f0a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 1,706$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Imperial | 73c | 1,155$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.37 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yawara Esports | 31c | 668$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…3a8abacked Imperial | 72c | 404.3$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Imperial | 68c | 400$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…df6fbacked Imperial | 68c | 350$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yawara Esports | 32c | 272.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Imperial | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 62c | 175.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Imperial | 70c | 173.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Imperial | 50c | 167.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 161.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 152$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 67c | 145.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Yawara Esports | 20c | 130.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yawara Esports | 11c | 128.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Imperial | 61c | 126$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports | 31c | 122.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 31c | 72.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Imperial | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yawara Esports | 34c | 60.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Imperial | 69c | 42.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Imperial | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Imperial | 77c | 37.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Imperial | 69c | 36.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Imperial | 70c | 24.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Imperial | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 53c | 20.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.