Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04aa4294fdc72b810e787cea50f479ccba88d5ae950c623121c60ad95718ef6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,631$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 1c | 1,435$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 1,371$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.7 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.63 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 4c | 578.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 4c | 544$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 54c | 541.07$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 513$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 6c | 472.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 374.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 362.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 210.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 185.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 54c | 181.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Under | 54c | 178.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 23c | 144.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Under | 55c | 135.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 54c | 133.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Over | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Under | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 54c | 90.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 54c | 89.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 12c | 86.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Under | 72c | 66.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 21c | 56.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 50c | 47.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 51c | 38.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Under | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 54c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…2d06backed Under | 54c | 35.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 59c | 33.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Under | 54c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 54c | 21.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)Larne FC won
- Spread: Larne FC (-2.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
- Spread: Lincoln Red Imps FC (-1.5)Larne FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.