Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bdb5a81864108cd2b90888da70cdec6fb9ab1d175d1a65e9d7faf1a544b43aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 2,622$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.22 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 2,570$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.79 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,203$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.24 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,413$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.03 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 9c | 1,341$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.61 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 941.11$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.07 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 735.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.73 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 60c | 674.31$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 628.7$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.49 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Under | 79c | 469.95$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 296.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 8c | 274.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.89 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 62c | 246.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 34c | 204.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 52c | 171.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 148.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 139.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 119.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 64c | 114.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 14c | 113$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 73c | 91.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 89.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 65.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 58.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 65c | 56.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 31c | 55.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 55.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 29c | 49.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 45c | 36.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 46c | 23.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 57c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 66c | 18.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 70c | 16.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs. Larne FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)Larne FC won
- Spread: Larne FC (-2.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
- Spread: Lincoln Red Imps FC (-1.5)Larne FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.