MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051a9cc9dbef99d646daa207fb7ab1a76fadc8bc8957df9ae92530d6ae7b1e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5763…0f56backed KT Wiz | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…0b7cbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 9,694$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed NC Dinos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked KT Wiz | 50c | 793.15$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.57 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed KT Wiz | 52c | 669.6$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.47 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed KT Wiz | 51c | 537.44$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 47c | 390.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…fd21backed KT Wiz | 51c | 388.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 50c | 383.15$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 303.24$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed NC Dinos | 48c | 277.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.97 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 50c | 124.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 75c | 113.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 26c | 109.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NC Dinos | 25c | 104.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed NC Dinos | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed NC Dinos | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed NC Dinos | 49c | 86.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 50c | 84.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed KT Wiz | 54c | 73.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked KT Wiz | 79c | 71.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KT Wiz | 51c | 70.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked KT Wiz | 74c | 69.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 68.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 63c | 63.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…a6b9backed KT Wiz | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked NC Dinos | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed KT Wiz | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed NC Dinos | 54c | 33.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed NC Dinos | 51c | 31.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed NC Dinos | 49c | 30.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 50c | 30.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed NC Dinos | 52c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 61c | 25.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.