Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Kristijan Juhas vs Dmitry Popko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062d51513b2e35428651175d66c684dde9e1e133c1cec173f402f53eaa21bfbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristijan Juhasof Kristijan Juhas, Dmitry Popko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Dmitry Popko | 51c | 9,741$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,936.73 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kristijan Juhas | 52c | 9,658$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Dmitry Popko | 51c | 5,000$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.99 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kristijan Juhas | 50c | 1,745$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.3 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Dmitry Popko | 33c | 1,182$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kristijan Juhas | 51c | 1,098$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kristijan Juhas | 54c | 1,067$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kristijan Juhas | 52c | 976.39$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.14 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kristijan Juhas | 48c | 732.19$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.74 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Dmitry Popko | 39c | 564.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Kristijan Juhas | 53c | 489.08$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.02 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kristijan Juhas | 56c | 370.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Dmitry Popko | 39c | 347.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kristijan Juhas | 53c | 260.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Dmitry Popko | 50c | 198.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kristijan Juhas | 76c | 161.32$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kristijan Juhas | 52c | 160.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Kristijan Juhas | 56c | 138.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…6f8fbacked Dmitry Popko | 77c | 125.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Dmitry Popko | 56c | 96.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed Kristijan Juhas | 56c | 95.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Kristijan Juhas | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kristijan Juhas | 54c | 84.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kristijan Juhas | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Dmitry Popko | 49c | 60.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Dmitry Popko | 61c | 49.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Kristijan Juhas | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Kristijan Juhas | 23c | 43.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Dmitry Popko | 76c | 37.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kristijan Juhas | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…fc7ebacked Dmitry Popko | 47c | 36.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Kristijan Juhas | 36c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Kristijan Juhas | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…21d0backed Kristijan Juhas | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Kristijan Juhas vs Dmitry Popkothis page
- ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Completed Match: Kristijan Juhas vs Dmitry PopkoYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.