CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06713546ff4c6afd28d98685e2ccf5d90a6e37e5f4eedbab589f4b99cbf4a8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof 9z, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 9z | 25c | 3,508$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.92 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 75c | 3,331$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 41c | 3,108$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked 9z | 49c | 1,522$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.76 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 52c | 1,078$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.53 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked 9z | 29c | 1,051$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Heroic | 74c | 675.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked 9z | 53c | 550.38$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.62 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 9z | 54c | 490.98$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked 9z | 26c | 444.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 9z | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Heroic | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic | 73c | 391.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked 9z | 51c | 388.01$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Heroic | 70c | 373.82$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 55c | 355.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 9z | 27c | 234.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed 9z | 42c | 229.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed 9z | 46c | 217.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Heroic | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Heroic | 74c | 193$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed Heroic | 50c | 172.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Heroic | 58c | 160.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Heroic | 66c | 155.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 9z | 41c | 153$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed 9z | 33c | 117.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed 9z | 46c | 86.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…88abbacked 9z | 32c | 82.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Heroic | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 9z | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Heroic | 75c | 65.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed 9z | 27c | 64.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Heroic | 64c | 61.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed 9z | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Heroic | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed 9z | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…99febacked 9z | 53c | 46.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 9z | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Heroic | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Heroic | 31c | 36.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Heroic | 75c | 30.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…29c8backed Heroic | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Heroic | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 59c | 22.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked 9z | 58c | 19.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Heroic | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.